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Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
Offline HansH
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Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Before going into tonight's games, here are the various magic and tragic numbers for teams around the league -- surprisingly, there's two teams who could clinch their post-season berths by the end of the week, if things fall just right.

EASTERN CONFERENCE
Magic Numbers
Reading - 36 points (25 games remaining)
Greenville - 41 points (23 GR)
Gwinnett - 44 points (23 GR)
Cincinnati - 45 points (24 GR)
Toledo - 47 points (25 GR)
Florida - 51 points (26 GR)
Elmira - 53 points (27 GR)
Wheeling - 53 points (27 GR)
-----
Tragic Numbers
Fort Wayne - 53 points (25 GR)
Kalamazoo - 50 points (27 GR)
Orlando - 46 points (24 GR)
South Carolina - 45 points (22 GR)
Trenton - 45 points (26 GR)
Evansville - 37 points (24 GR)

WESTERN CONFERENCE
Magic Numbers
Ontario - 9 points (25 GR) - (can also clinch with four victories due to Wins tiebreaker)
Alaska - 9 points (24 GR)
Idaho - 17 points (27 GR)
Stockton - 22 points (23 GR)
Las Vegas - 29 points (26 GR)
Colorado - 31 points (26 GR)
Utah - 36 points (29 GR)
San Francisco - 38 points (27 GR)
-----
Tragic Numbers
Bakersfield - 38 points (23 GR)

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02-05-2013 05:39 PM
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Offline olddog
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Well--- Bako is a tragedy , that is for damn sure

I could probably put together a pickup team of guys here in Ensenada and kick their butts
(This post was last modified: 02-05-2013 10:20 PM by olddog.)
02-05-2013 10:17 PM
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Offline Reeves' Army
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Orlando is 13-4-4 at home, and 8-18-1 on the road. Ugh...

10 of the next 11 are at home, though.
02-06-2013 01:43 PM
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Offline LvlyWords
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Stickin' with my Condors!!!

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02-08-2013 03:27 PM
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Offline LvlyWords
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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ok, Hans..I'm dense and not ashamed to admit it..how many games do the Condors have to win and/or how many games does San Fran or Utah have to lose, for the Condors to have a chance to make the post-season..be kind.

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02-08-2013 05:27 PM
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Offline LippinOff
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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(02-08-2013 05:27 PM)LvlyWords Wrote:  ok, Hans..I'm dense and not ashamed to admit it..how many games do the Condors have to win and/or how many games does San Fran or Utah have to lose, for the Condors to have a chance to make the post-season..be kind.

Lvly, keep in mind the M/T numbers are points, not games. When a team's tragic number reaches zero, the team is out of the play-offs. When a team's magic number reaches zero, that team is in the play-offs.

Since SF and the Condor's are on the bubble, their numbers will be the same. Your team's tragic number will go down one of two ways:

1) Any point SF gets.
2) Any point the Condor's give up (if they lose in regulation, they give up two; if they lose in OT/SO, they give up 1. If they win, they give up nothing for that game.

As it stands now, any combination of 19 SF wins/Bako losses dooms the Condors where OT loss = half a game for both teams.

The confusing part is they can switch positions quickly and frequently where the Condors are just in the bubble and SF just out. If that happens, then you have a magic number and it goes down with every point your team gets and every point SF gives up. It gets ever weirder if another team replaces SF. Then you have to watch them.
02-08-2013 05:49 PM
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Offline LvlyWords
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Thank you so so so so much!! I envisioned we had to win 19 out of the next 23 games..

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02-08-2013 05:52 PM
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Offline maddog
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Still confused how the western market has the ability to have all but one of their teams in the playoffs while the eastern market has more competition. This makes the previous MLB central division, one more team while American league western division had one less team, for the past decade seem fair.

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02-09-2013 06:56 AM
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Offline LippinOff
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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(02-09-2013 06:56 AM)maddog Wrote:  Still confused how the western market has the ability to have all but one of their teams in the playoffs while the eastern market has more competition. This makes the previous MLB central division, one more team while American league western division had one less team, for the past decade seem fair.

I agree, but on the other side of the coin, if the Western Conference only had four teams make the play-offs, or 6 teams with a couple of first round byes, if theory, you'd have teams only having to win two rounds to make it to the Finals vs. three rounds in the Eastern Conference. Seems either way, there is an 'easier' path to the Cup. Either it's easier to get IN the play-offs or easier to get THROUGH the play-offs.

But you're exactly right. By virtue of a disproportionate amount of teams, it seems a bit tilted in their favor. But whadda ya gonna do. It is what it is I guess. The only real resolution is more teams in the West to even things up a bit.
(This post was last modified: 02-09-2013 12:45 PM by LippinOff.)
02-09-2013 12:39 PM
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Offline RaysRsharp
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RE: Magic/Tragic Numbers, 2/5/13
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Easy fix.....
Just let the top 4 teams in the West make the playyoffs, then have them play best of 11 series. Smile
02-09-2013 06:33 PM
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